Wednesday, November 9, 2011

JZN NFL Predictions vs. Spread: New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (Week 10, 2011-12)

The early spread on this game is 49ers (-3). Here are some of the key aspects of the game and what to watch out for in pick ’em leagues. All lines from Y! Sports and injury reports from CBS Sports as of November 9, 2011. Always update yourselves with injury lines because they’ll change throughout the week. Please note that ATS means “Against the spread.”

*My* Current Personal Picks Record (Straights Picks Only)
San Francisco 49ers 5-3
New York Giants 3-5

Key Injuries
WR Hakeem Nicks, C David Baas, RB Ahmad Bradshaw, DT Jimmy Kennedy (Suspension), DT Ray McDonald, RB Frank Gore

Keys to the Game
  • Which team will create the most turnovers?
  • Can the Giants win with a one-dimensional offense?
  • Injuries to Hakeem Nicks, Ahmad Bradshaw and Frank Gore
  • Can the 49ers contain Hakeem Nicks or Victor Cruz?
  • Can the Giants contain Vernon Davis or Delanie Walker?

The San Francisco 49ers are the only team who is undefeated ATS (7-0-1). They’re also undefeated ATS at home, away, favorite and underdog. The 49ers are 7-1 on the season. Barring a few slips from defensive backs and a questionable coaching decision by Jim Harbaugh in the Dallas Cowboys game, the 49ers could be 8-0 pretty easily.

The Giants have their own appealing traits for this game. They’re 3-1 ATS in away games and 2-0 as underdogs ATS. The Giants have won three consecutive games since their home loss to the Seattle Seahawks.

The 49ers are 2-1 against NFC East teams. The Giants are also 2-1 against NFC West teams.

I need more information on the injuries for this game. However, I really can’t pick against the 49ers with the success they’ve had against the spread. The Giants had enough difficulty beating the Arizona Cardinals in Arizona.

Final Predictions:
Against the Spread: San Francisco 49ers (-3)
Straight: San Francisco 49ers 21, New York Giants 16

Stat sources:

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