Tuesday, October 11, 2011

JZN NFL Predictions vs. Spread: Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (Week 6, 2011-12)

The Pittsburgh Steelers have been dominant at Heinz Field this season. The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost four consecutive games and Blaine Gabbert is 0-3 as a starting quarterback. Can the Jaguars pull off a surprising upset?

The early spread on this game is Steelers (-12). Here are some of the key aspects of the game and what to watch out for when betting. All lines from Y! Sports and Injury Reports from CBS Sports as of October 11, 2011. Always update yourselves with injury lines because they’ll change throughout the week.

Current Personal Picks Record (Straights Only)
Jacksonville Jaguars 4-1
Pittsburgh Steelers 2-3

Key Injuries
OT Eugene Monroe, CB Derek Cox, OG Jason Spitz, RB Rashard Mendenhall, DE Aaron Smith, OG Chris Kemoeatu, NT Casey Hampton, OT Marcus Gilbert, C Maurkice Pouncey, LB James Harrison (Out), QB Ben Roethlisberger (Probable), RB Isaac Redman 

Keys to the Game
  • Can the Jaguars front four create pressure on Ben Roethlisberger
  • Can the Steelers contain Maurice Jones-Drew?
  • How much do injuries affect the Steelers?
  • Will the Steelers have a hangover?
  • The Steelers are 2-0 against AFC South teams.
  • The Steelres have outscored opponents 62-17 at Heinz Field in 2011.

It’s hard to see Gabbert getting his first NFL victory in Heinz Field. The Steelers have had some difficulty with run defense this season. However, they can concentrate almost entirely on that as Gabbert has virtually no receiving weapons. My biggest concern would be how well the Steelers’ offensive line will hold up against a respectable Jaguars’ defensive line. They’re decimated on both sides of their trenches.

The Steelers have been too dominant at home this season. They can’t afford to let this one slip past their fingertips. Steelers by double digits.

Final Predictions:
Against the Spread: -Pittsburgh Steelers (-12)
Straight: -Pittsburgh Steelers 21, Jacksonville Jaguars 6

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