Tuesday, October 4, 2011

JZN NFL Predictions vs. Spread: Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants (Week 5, 2011-12)

The Seattle Seahawks find themselves in a must win situation after losing a home game to the Atlanta Falcons. They’ll need to pull off a big upset against the New York Giants on the road. Do they have chance at that?

The early spread on this game is Giants (-10). Here are some of the key aspects of the game and what to watch out for when betting. All lines from Cooper's Pick and Injury Reports from CBS Sports as of October 4, 2011. Always keep yourself updated with injury lines because they’ll unexpectedly change throughout the week.

Current Personal Picks Record (Straights Only)
Seattle Seahawks 4-0
New York Giants 2-2

Key Injuries
DE Justin Tuck, CB Prince Amukamara, C David Baas, WR Brandon Stokley, WR Mike Williams, WR Deon Butler (Out), OG Robert Gallery (Out), LB Matt McCoy (IR)

Keys to the Game
  • Can the Giants contain Sidney Rice and Mike Williams?
  • Can the Seahawks buck the NFC West’s trend of road ineptness?
  • Can the Seahawks force the Giants into some costly turnovers?
  • Can the Seahawks contain Hakeem Nicks?
  • How much of an impact would Justin Tuck and/or Osi Umenyiora have?
  • Can Eli Manning continue his improved play? Will he avoid giveaways?
  • Will the Seahawks improve their Time of Possession woes?
Summary
I’ve always been pretty decent at picking Seahawks’ games. Pick them at home when they play bad teams (Arizona). Consider them at home whenever they’re playing good teams (Atlanta, last year’s injury-depleted New Orleans team). Stay away when they’re playing great teams. Never pick them on the road unless they’re playing the Arizona Cardinals (and that’s iffy this year). That’s even truer when they’re making an East Coast trip.

The Seahawks were shutout in their last East Coast visit to Pittsburgh. They actually have the receivers who can exploit the Giants’ secondary. The problem is that Tarvaris Jackson has no time to throw. The Seahawks have surrendered 14 sacks and 37 QB hits in four games. The Rams are the only team with a worse offensive line.

The Giants have 12 sacks on the year. That’s pretty good when one considers that Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora have both missed ample time. They could both be on the same field this week.

Consider the Giants or no one in this battle. The Seahawks are far too great of a risk on East Coast trips against an above .500 caliber team like the Giants.

Final Predictions:
Against the Spread: New York Giants (-10)
Straight:  New York Giants 27, Seattle Seahawks 10

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