Wednesday, September 28, 2011

JZN NFL Predictions vs. Spread: New York Giants at Arizona Cardinals (Week 4, 2011-12)

The New York Giants are getting healthy and coming off a huge victory over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3. The Arizona Cardinals are riding a rocky path with Kevin Kolb. Will the Giants play flat or will Eli Manning continue to play well?

The early spread on this game is Giants (-1). Here are some of the key aspects of the game and what to watch out for when betting. All lines from Cooper's Pick and Injury Reports from as of September 28, 2011. Always keep yourself updated with injury lines because they’ll unexpectedly change throughout the week.

#0: Current Record (Straights Only)
Arizona Cardinals 3-0
New York Giants 1-2

#1: Injuries
The Cardinals could be without RB Beanie Wells. They could use him if they’re going to have a balanced offensive attack against the Giants. He already missed Week 3 and could miss Week 4 with a hamstring injury.

The Giants are getting healthy. Osi Umenyiora is expected to return. Justin Tuck may also return. This should give the Giants a major boost with a vulnerable passing defense that’s missing a plethora of defensive backs.

#2: Larry Fitzgerald & Hakeem Nicks
The Giants are without their shutdown cornerback (Terrell Thomas) and Prince Amukamara. Larry Fitzgerald has put up big numbers this season and exploited teams with weak defensive backs. He’ll be the top concern for the Giants.

The same problem exists for the Cardinals. They’ll need to contain Hakeem Nicks. They have the NFL’s 25th-ranked passing defense. That’s even more disturbing when one considers that they’ve faced Cam Newton, Tavaris Jackson and Rex Grossman in their first three games.

#3 Trends
The New York Giants are 1-0 against NFC West teams. The Arizona Cardinals are 0-1 against NFC East teams. Both teams have lost to the Washington Redskins.

#4: Ahmad Bradshaw vs. Cardinals’ Defense
The Cardinals could have more issues than containing Nicks. They’ve given up just under 400 yards per game. That’s good for 27th in the NFL.

#5: Turnover Ratio
The Giants have been good at creating turnovers. They have a +4 turnover ratio. Some of that is because Michael Vick was knocked out of their Week 3 game.

Final Predictions:
I feel like the Giants offense is too balanced for the Cardinals to stop. I haven’t bought into that whole Kevin Kolb thing. I’m not picking a team that just lost to Tavaris Jackson and couldn’t put up more than 10 points against the Seattle Seahawks. I’m going with the better team over home-field advantage.

Against the Spread: New York Giants (-1)
Straight:  New York Giants 27, Arizona Cardinals 13

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