Wednesday, September 28, 2011

JZN NFL Predictions vs. Spread: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens (Week 4, 2011-12)


The New York Jets and Baltimore Ravens were considered as two of the Super Bowl favorites coming out of the AFC this season. Which team can avoid a 2-2 start? Which team can find themselves at 3-1 by week’s end?

The early spread on this game is Ravens (-3). Here are some of the key aspects of the game and what to watch out for when betting. All lines from Cooper's Pick and Injury Reports from covers.com as of September 28, 2011. Always keep yourself updated with injury lines because they’ll unexpectedly change throughout the week.

#0: Current Record (Straights Only)
New York Jets 2-1
Baltimore Ravens 1-2

#1: Injuries
Antonio Cromartie is expected to play in Week 4. The Jets are still without two offensive linemen in C Nick Mangold and OL Robert Turner.

The Ravens already have a suspect secondary. It took another hit as Domonique Foxworth was placed on IR with an ACL injury that isn’t healing probably. They’re already without CB Haruki Nakamura and CB Jimmy Smith. OG Ben Grubbs, WR Lee Evans and LB Dannell Ellerbe are also questionable.

#2: Ravens’ Secondary
The Ravens’ defense is susceptible to big plays. However, they do have five interceptions on the season. Mark Sanchez is a turnover-prone QB. Sanchez has good enough weapons to beat this secondary. However, he must make better decisions.

#3: Jets’ Passing Game
The Jets could be forced into passing against the Ravens as Haloti Ngata, Ray Lewis, and Terence Cody will limit their ability to run the ball. The loss of C Nick Mangold should also hurt from that end.

#4: Ravens at Jets: 2010
The Ravens won their regular-season opener on Monday Night Football with a 10-9 victory over the Jets. A defensive battle, Anquan Boldin had 110 receiving yards. I wouldn’t be surprised if Darrelle Revis was matched up on him this time. March Sanchez only had 74 passing yards. Ray Rice had 43 yards on 21 attempts.

Final Predictions:
So far, I’ve only really picked one upset this week. That was the Pittsburgh Steelers. I think the New York Jets are going to be amp’ed up for this game, at least defensively. I still feel like the Ravens’ secondary is a bit vulnerable after seeing Matt Hasselbeck shred it in Week 2. The Jets do have the wide receivers that could cause some problems.

Pretty even contest. I think I’ll take the points and take the Jets by a field goal.

Against the Spread: New York Jets (+3)
Straight:  New York Jets 16, Baltimore Ravens 13

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